As Extra P. noted earlier this week, Cincinnati Reds farmhand Jay Bruce took home Baseball America’s Minor League Player of the Year award following a season in which he hit .319 with 26 homeruns and 89 runs batted in at three minor league levels.
Bruce wasn’t rewarded for his excellent season with a September call-up, so Reds fans have yet to see what the 20-year-old can do to major league pitching. His victory, however, prompted me to look deeper into the history of the award and see if it tells us what we might one day expect from The Cincinnati Kid.
According to Wikipedia, Baseball America has named a Minor League Player of the Year for every season since 1981. Those winners and their statistics for the year (when available) are listed in the tables below:
| Player | Year | League | BA | HR | RBI |
| Mike Marshall | 1981 | PCL | .373 | 34 | 137 |
| Ron Kittle | 1982 | PCL | .345 | 50 | 144 |
| Jose Canseco | 1985 | 2 levels | .333 | 36 | 127 |
| Gregg Jefferies | 1986 | 3 levels | .353 | 16 | 111 |
| Gregg Jefferies | 1987 | Texas | .367 | 20 | 101 |
| Sandy Alomar | 1989 | PCL | .306 | 13 | 101 |
| Frank Thomas | 1990 | Southern | .323 | 18 | 101 |
| Derek Bell | 1991 | International | .346 | 13 | 93 |
| Tim Salmon | 1992 | PCL | .347 | 29 | 105 |
| Manny Ramirez | 1993 | 2 levels | .333 | 31 | 115 |
| Derek Jeter | 1994 | 3 levels | .344 | 5 | 70 |
| Andruw Jones | 1995 | SAL | .277 | 25 | 100 |
| Andruw Jones | 1996 | 3 levels | .339 | 34 | 92 |
| Paul Konerko | 1997 | PCL | .323 | 37 | 127 |
| Eric Chavez | 1998 | 2 levels | .327 | 33 | 126 |
| Rocco Baldelli | 2002 | 3 levels | .331 | 19 | 71 |
| Joe Mauer | 2003 | 2 levels | .338 | 5 | 85 |
| Delmon Young | 2005 | 2 levels | .315 | 26 | 99 |
| Alex Gordon | 2006 | Texas | .325 | 29 | 101 |
| Player | Year | League | W-L | SO | ERA |
| Dwight Gooden | 1983 | Carolina | 19-4 | 300 | 2.50 |
| Mike Bielecki | 1984 | PCL | 19-3 | 162 | 2.97 |
| Tom Gordon | 1988 | 3 levels | 16-5 | 263 | 1.55 |
| Rick Ankiel | 1999 | 2 levels | 13-3 | 194 | 2.35 |
| Jon Rauch | 2000 | 2 levels | 16-4 | 187 | 2.66 |
| Josh Beckett | 2001 | 2 levels | 14-1 | 203 | 1.54 |
| Jeff Francis | 2004 | 2 levels | 16-3 | 196 | 2.21 |
By my count, there are three certain Hall of Famers in that group (Thomas, Ramirez, Jeter), some exceptional players and a bunch of serviceable major leaguers. Based on stats alone, I think my favorites are Kittle (as prevalent as 50 homer seasons were in the majors over the past ten years, they haven’t been so common in the minors), Gooden (300 strikeouts in 191 innings pitched – 14.14 per nine innings) and Beckett (include his major league stats with the Marlins and his combined ERA actually goes down).
It will be interesting to see what happens in 2008 – Bruce will be 21 on April 3 and the Reds are often incompetent, which means he could be kept in the minors for another year of “seasoning”. If that happens, he could become the third player to win the award twice. It’s anybody’s guess, in that case, which career path he follows: the Jefferies or the Jones.
Statistics: The Baseball Cube, Minor League Reference

Posted by Extra P. on October 7, 2007 at 10:28 pm
Nice analysis, I love it! I guess part of the equation for Bruce is which current OF in Cincy might be on his way out to make room for him. I’m way too lazy to look up contract stats and all that, so I guess I’ll have to find out next year.
Posted by WHIPPS on October 8, 2007 at 12:22 pm
Hey guys, great work! I didn’t know you had this blog too, Extra P.! Great, now I have another blog to check in on daily, thanks a lot…
As far as contracts go, Griffey is signed through 2008 with a club option for 2009. The big question mark is Adam Dunn whose contract is up now with a club option for 2008. Right now the Reds have given no indications that they plan on signing him so that could be a sign that Bruce is heading to Cin-city.
And how insane were Kittle and Gooden’s seasons those years? That just does not happen in the Minors!
Posted by Extra P. on October 8, 2007 at 4:50 pm
Matt, if you weren’t already writing three or four blogs yourself, I’d beg you to come over here. I loved your top 25, and am slowly getting through some of the prospect profiles.
Posted by Diamond Cutter on October 10, 2007 at 1:16 am
Thanks for the kind words Extra P.! Anytime you’d like to do some sort of collaboration on anything I’d be more than happy to do so (I actually may have something in mind for down the road)! I love your work too and I think we’d be able to put together some earth-shattering stuff!